Message Number: |
577 |
From: |
Daniel Reeves <dreeves Æ umich.edu> |
Date: |
Tue, 7 Nov 2006 20:38:21 -0500 (EST) |
Subject: |
40% chance that democrats take both house and senate |
and 6% chance that republicans keep both.
... according to the prediction market at tradesports.com.
Question: What do you all think of allegations that Republicans are
cheating?
Here's some damning evidence from the GOP itself:
http://www.gop.com/News/Read.aspx?ID 18
From that page:
"For reasons that remain unclear, Democratic voters are more likely than
Republicans to agree to interview requests from pollsters."
(Just to spell it out: If the exit polls favor democrats and the real
polls favor republicans, there are two explanations:
1. a democratic bias in exit polls.
2. a republican bias in the real polls.
What makes 1 more plausible? Seriously, how do Republicans answer that?
This is scary!)
--
http://ai.eecs.umich.edu/people/dreeves - - search://"Daniel Reeves"
"Verbing weirds language." -- Calvin (of Calvin and Hobbes)
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