I'm willing to participate in the pact (i.e., endorse bethany's
ensorsement of the endorsement pact) contingent on a few conditions:
1) dan concedes you can't "prove" we should do it
2) bethany concedes that the rapture may be imminent
3) we debate the issues independently from the candidates
4) we select a candidate by putting our resolved issue stances into the
candidate calculator, and select among the top several matches based on
which candidate we collectively "like".
- k
On Fri, 7 Sep 2007, Daniel Reeves wrote:
>> I'll endorse the endorsement pact. We can be like our own little
>> electoral college. Sorta.
>
> Awesome, thanks Bethany!
>
> Also, on second thought, even if you're a Bush supporter and you know you're
> throwing your vote away by joining the pact you'll still in expectation
> convert more than one non pact member in your futile attempt to sway the
> endorsement. Sure, you could make the futile attempt without being in the
> pact, but surely the anguished tone of "please don't make me vote for
> Hillary" will win you one additional convert, not to mention your greater
> motivation to engage in the debate at all.
>
> And if you're *not* a Bush supporter I really don't see what's holding you
> back!
>
> The original proposal is below.
>
>
>>>>> I want to clarify my Official Endorsement proposal. True that the debate
>>>>> will be plenty vigorous without this pact. The value is that the
>>>>> endorsement itself will be more meaningful the more people participate
>>>>> in
>>>>> the pact.
>>>>>
>>>>> Consider it decision-theoretically:
>>>>> With the endorsement pact there's some probability you'll have to vote
>>>>> for
>>>>> the wrong person (in your view), but even then you'll probably have
>>>>> convinced a couple people of your side in the process (and just one such
>>>>> conversion breaks even).
>>>>> There's also some probability you'll vote for the right person, and
>>>>> also
>>>>> have the official endorsement more meaningfully backing you and that you
>>>>> can point people to. That stuff spreads around the meme-o/blog-o-sphere
>>>>> and
>>>>> has a (small) chance of really mattering. Compared to the chance of
>>>>> your
>>>>> own vote mattering, it's a no-brainer.
>>>>>
>>>>> In other words, your participation in the pact strengthens the impact of
>>>>> the endorsement and, even factoring in the risk that the endorsement
>>>>> goes
>>>>> the wrong way, it's a greater expected benefit than your voting
>>>>> sovereignty
>>>>> is.
>>>>>
>>>>> QED
>>>>>
>>>>> And it really can't hurt the debate either. Voting against my own
>>>>> preference would be distinctly unpalatable and as such I would be
>>>>> incentivized to argue my case a bit more carefully, to get the group
>>>>> consensus in line with my opinion. And this too contributes to making
>>>>> the
>>>>> endorsement that much more meaningful.
>>>>>
>>>>> It's all about ideas, which spread, and influence, which snowballs. Your
>>>>> own vote is simply inconsequential. (But you still should feel
>>>>> ethically
>>>>> bound to cast it, otherwise the whole system doesn't work.)
>>>>>
>>>>> (Another aside: the way to fix the 2-party system is with a different
>>>>> voting mechanism, like yootling. Just kidding (mostly). Like Approval
>>>>> Voting, Instant-Runoff Voting, Borda Count, or Range Voting. Approval
>>>>> Voting is simplest. Just vote for as many candidates as you like. Still
>>>>> one ballot per person but now if you want to vote "anyone but Bush", do
>>>>> it.
>>>>> You can now vote for a 3rd-party candidate without wasting your vote.)
>>>>>
>>>>> (And speaking of endorsement pacts, the rabid supporters of the
>>>>> different
>>>>> alternative voting schemes all agree that any one of these alternatives
>>>>> is
>>>>> better than the brain-dead 2-party-supporting plurality voting system we
>>>>> now use. If they would just agree to pick one and all get behind it,
>>>>> they'd have a better chance of changing the system.)
>
> ORIGINAL PROPOSAL:
>
> I have a radical idea. Let's, through some democratic process, agree on
> an official ImproveTheWorld endorsement of one candidate. (That wasn't
> the radical part.) If we do that, I hereby promise to vote for that
> candidate, regardless of whether I want to. Why? Because the truth is
> that who you publicly support matters much more than who you actually vote
> for. Committing myself to vote for whoever the ImproveTheWorld Endorsement
> is means I have to argue persuasively for my favorite candidate.
>
> So, I'm committed. Anyone else?
>
> --
> http://ai.eecs.umich.edu/people/dreeves - - search://"Daniel Reeves"
>
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