Message Number: |
445 |
From: |
James W Mickens <jmickens Æ eecs.umich.edu> |
Date: |
Mon, 14 Aug 2006 12:17:58 -0400 (EDT) |
Subject: |
Re: stupid feel-good "no liquids" rule |
> But that's the point that Nate and I and others are trying to make: the "no
> liquids" rule constitutes spending millions on security that does just about
> nothing to prevent attacks.
These rules do little to improve safety if you assume that terrorist
organizations are run by scientific masterminds who are capable of
designing and implementing arbitrarily sophisticated attacks. Empirically
speaking, this does not appear to be true. Most of the things that
terrorists do are quite crude, e.g., strapping bombs to themselves,
sneaking guns or knives onto planes, driving explosive-laden vehicles
into buildings, leaving explosives in trash cans, etc. Straightforward
countermeasures include chemical detection of explosives, behavioral
profiling, X-rays, pat downs, putting concrete barriers around important
buildings, and not placing trash cans in public places (as is the policy
in the London Underground). To say that these measures do "just about
nothing" for safety ascribes too much cleverness to the standard
terrorist and ignores the common modes for terrorist attacks; if such an
attitude were implemented as public policy, it would likely lead to an
increase in terrorist attacks. It is correct that we cannot protect
against arbitrarily Byzantine terrorist attacks, but such things are rare.
If you look at Wikipedia's (by no means comprehensive) list of famous
terrorist attacks:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Death_toll#Terrorism
. . . it seems that the vast majority of attacks used the very simple
mechanisms enumerated above. If we have such empirical data about how
terrorist attacks are typically implemented, perhaps amplified by specific
intelligence about impending attacks, we should definitely use this
information to check for the most obvious things.
I agree that the ban on liquids should not consist of security officers
asking you to be earnest in answering the question "do you have any
liquids?" However, reasonable implementations of policies like this will
improve security because many terrorist attacks are simple and can be
stopped by simple countermeasures. This is particularly true if the target
is a place like an airport where entry and exit is tightly controlled.
This is less true in places like a hotel or an open air market.
~j
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