X-Spam-Status: No, score=-2.1 required=5.0 tests=BAYES_00,MR_DIFF_MID,SMILEY autolearn=no version=3.2.3 Sender: -2.1 (spamval) -- NONE Return-Path: Received: from newman.eecs.umich.edu (newman.eecs.umich.edu [141.213.4.11]) by boston.eecs.umich.edu (8.12.10/8.13.0) with ESMTP id l8ULmgux005631 (version=TLSv1/SSLv3 cipher=DHE-RSA-AES256-SHA bits=256 verify=FAIL) for ; Sun, 30 Sep 2007 17:48:43 -0400 Received: from madman.mr.itd.umich.edu (mx.umich.edu [141.211.14.134]) by newman.eecs.umich.edu (8.14.1/8.14.1) with ESMTP id l8ULm5B4021641; Sun, 30 Sep 2007 17:48:05 -0400 Received: FROM newman.eecs.umich.edu (newman.eecs.umich.edu [141.213.4.11]) BY madman.mr.itd.umich.edu ID 470019AB.3338A.26104 ; 30 Sep 2007 17:48:27 -0400 Received: from boston.eecs.umich.edu (boston.eecs.umich.edu [141.213.4.61]) by newman.eecs.umich.edu (8.14.1/8.14.1) with ESMTP id l8ULlmrg021615 (version=TLSv1/SSLv3 cipher=DHE-RSA-AES256-SHA bits=256 verify=FAIL); Sun, 30 Sep 2007 17:47:48 -0400 Received: from boston.eecs.umich.edu (localhost.eecs.umich.edu [127.0.0.1]) by boston.eecs.umich.edu (8.12.10/8.13.0) with ESMTP id l8ULmFux005591 (version=TLSv1/SSLv3 cipher=DHE-RSA-AES256-SHA bits=256 verify=NO); Sun, 30 Sep 2007 17:48:16 -0400 Received: from localhost (dreeves Æ localhost) by boston.eecs.umich.edu (8.12.10/8.12.9/Submit) with ESMTP id l8ULmFFC005588; Sun, 30 Sep 2007 17:48:15 -0400 X-Authentication-Warning: boston.eecs.umich.edu: dreeves owned process doing -bs X-X-Sender: dreeves Æ boston.eecs.umich.edu In-Reply-To: <1FB583EC-FBB5-4C5D-9188-60E5A3B2AE97 Æ umich.edu> Message-ID: References: <1FB583EC-FBB5-4C5D-9188-60E5A3B2AE97 Æ umich.edu> MIME-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: TEXT/PLAIN; charset=US-ASCII; format=flowed X-Spam-Checker-Version: SpamAssassin 3.2.3 (2007-08-08) on newman.eecs.umich.edu X-Virus-Scanned: ClamAV version 0.91.2, clamav-milter version 0.91.2 on newman.eecs.umich.edu X-Virus-Scanned: ClamAV version 0.91.2, clamav-milter version 0.91.2 on newman.eecs.umich.edu X-Virus-Status: Clean Date: Sun, 30 Sep 2007 17:48:15 -0400 (EDT) To: Dave Morris cc: improvetheworld Æ umich.edu From: Daniel Reeves Subject: Re: candidate calculator Awesome, I added you to the voting block: http://ai.eecs.umich.edu/people/dreeves/improvetheworld/ The candidate calculator is down at the moment (because yootles.com is). I hadn't been paying enough attention to realize that Obama is essentially out of the race. Here are the prediction market prices of top candidates (ie, the probabilities they will become president): CLINTON(H) 43.8 GIULIANI 16.2 THOMPSON(F) 8.7 ROMNEY 8.1 OBAMA 7.7 GORE 6 EDWARDS 2.8 Also, Dave, I love your other email. I've been working on a follow-up and my conclusions are similar. I'll send that soon. --- \/ FROM Dave Morris AT 07.09.30 13:43 (Today) \/ --- > I got Mike Gravel too, with 96.30% match. Hmm. Didn't know anything about him > before. I'm in favor of the improve the world voting block. I'd rather get a > candidate who isn't my top choice, but avoids my bottom choice, than have all > of our votes spread out amongst the best 4 candidates, causing the 5th and > worst candidate to win instead. :-) > > But the link to the page Danny sent didn't work for me. Did that get up? I'm > joining this late I know. > > Dave Morris > cell: 734-476-8769 > http://www-personal.umich.edu/~thecat/ > > > On Sep 5, 2007, at 1:20 PM, Rob Felty wrote: > >> the election is still quite a ways off, but there certainly is enough >> press about it. I enjoyed this little candidate calculator. It >> basically just compares your answers to 23 different questions to the >> views of the 16 or so democrat and republican candidates. Accordingly, >> I should vote for Mike Gravel. I would be interested to hear your >> results. >> http://www.vajoe.com/candidate_calculator.html >> >> Rob >> >> > -- http://ai.eecs.umich.edu/people/dreeves - - search://"Daniel Reeves" "We had a few creative differences. I felt that the show shouldn't suck."