Message Number: 778
From: Matt Rudary <mrudary Æ eecs.umich.edu>
Date: Fri, 07 Sep 2007 14:44:45 -0400
Subject: Re: candidate calculator
I can't tell -- were you serious about #3 and #4 or do you just not want 
to do this? I'm willing to join in the voting bloc, but like Erik I 
specifically *do not* want to choose a candidate based only on their 
reported positions on the issues.

Matt

Kevin Lochner wrote:
> I'm willing to participate in the pact (i.e., endorse bethany's
> ensorsement of the endorsement pact) contingent on a few conditions:
> 
> 1) dan concedes you can't "prove" we should do it
> 2) bethany concedes that the rapture may be imminent
> 3) we debate the issues independently from the candidates
> 4) we select a candidate by putting our resolved issue stances into the
>    candidate calculator, and select among the top several matches based on
>    which candidate we collectively "like".
> 
> - k
> 
> 
> On Fri, 7 Sep 2007, Daniel Reeves wrote:
> 
>>> I'll endorse the endorsement pact. We can be like our own little
>>> electoral college. Sorta.
>>
>> Awesome, thanks Bethany!
>>
>> Also, on second thought, even if you're a Bush supporter and you know 
>> you're throwing your vote away by joining the pact you'll still in 
>> expectation convert more than one non pact member in your futile 
>> attempt to sway the endorsement.  Sure, you could make the futile 
>> attempt without being in the pact, but surely the anguished tone of 
>> "please don't make me vote for Hillary" will win you one additional 
>> convert, not to mention your greater motivation to engage in the 
>> debate at all.
>>
>> And if you're *not* a Bush supporter I really don't see what's holding 
>> you back!
>>
>> The original proposal is below.
>>
>>
>>>>>> I want to clarify my Official Endorsement proposal. True that the 
>>>>>> debate
>>>>>> will be plenty vigorous without this pact. The value is that the
>>>>>> endorsement itself will be more meaningful the more people 
>>>>>> participate in
>>>>>> the pact.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Consider it decision-theoretically:
>>>>>>	With the endorsement pact there's some probability you'll have to 
>>>>>> vote for
>>>>>> the wrong person (in your view), but even then you'll probably have
>>>>>> convinced a couple people of your side in the process (and just 
>>>>>> one such
>>>>>> conversion breaks even).
>>>>>>	There's also some probability you'll vote for the right person, 
>>>>>> and also
>>>>>> have the official endorsement more meaningfully backing you and 
>>>>>> that you
>>>>>> can point people to. That stuff spreads around the 
>>>>>> meme-o/blog-o-sphere and
>>>>>> has a (small) chance of really mattering.  Compared to the chance 
>>>>>> of your
>>>>>> own vote mattering, it's a no-brainer.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> In other words, your participation in the pact strengthens the 
>>>>>> impact of
>>>>>> the endorsement and, even factoring in the risk that the 
>>>>>> endorsement goes
>>>>>> the wrong way, it's a greater expected benefit than your voting 
>>>>>> sovereignty
>>>>>> is.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> QED
>>>>>>
>>>>>> And it really can't hurt the debate either. Voting against my own
>>>>>> preference would be distinctly unpalatable and as such I would be
>>>>>> incentivized to argue my case a bit more carefully, to get the group
>>>>>> consensus in line with my opinion.  And this too contributes to 
>>>>>> making the
>>>>>> endorsement that much more meaningful.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> It's all about ideas, which spread, and influence, which 
>>>>>> snowballs. Your
>>>>>> own vote is simply inconsequential.  (But you still should feel 
>>>>>> ethically
>>>>>> bound to cast it, otherwise the whole system doesn't work.)
>>>>>>
>>>>>> (Another aside: the way to fix the 2-party system is with a different
>>>>>> voting mechanism, like yootling.  Just kidding (mostly).  Like 
>>>>>> Approval
>>>>>> Voting, Instant-Runoff Voting, Borda Count, or Range Voting.  
>>>>>> Approval
>>>>>> Voting is simplest.  Just vote for as many candidates as you like. 
>>>>>> Still
>>>>>> one ballot per person but now if you want to vote "anyone but 
>>>>>> Bush", do it.
>>>>>> You can now vote for a 3rd-party candidate without wasting your 
>>>>>> vote.)
>>>>>>
>>>>>> (And speaking of endorsement pacts, the rabid supporters of the 
>>>>>> different
>>>>>> alternative voting schemes all agree that any one of these 
>>>>>> alternatives is
>>>>>> better than the brain-dead 2-party-supporting plurality voting 
>>>>>> system we
>>>>>> now use.  If they would just agree to pick one and all get behind it,
>>>>>> they'd have a better chance of changing the system.)
>>
>> ORIGINAL PROPOSAL:
>>
>> I have a radical idea.  Let's, through some democratic process, agree on
>> an official ImproveTheWorld endorsement of one candidate.  (That wasn't
>> the radical part.)  If we do that, I hereby promise to vote for that
>> candidate, regardless of whether I want to.	Why?  Because the truth is
>> that who you publicly support matters much more than who you actually 
>> vote
>> for. Committing myself to vote for whoever the ImproveTheWorld 
>> Endorsement
>> is means I have to argue persuasively for my favorite candidate.
>>
>> So, I'm committed.  Anyone else?
>>
>> -- 
>> http://ai.eecs.umich.edu/people/dreeves  - -  search://"Daniel Reeves"
>>