X-Spam-Status: No, score=-2.6 required=5.0 tests=BAYES_00,HTML_MESSAGE autolearn=ham version=3.2.2 Sender: -2.6 (spamval) -- NONE Return-Path: Received: from newman.eecs.umich.edu (newman.eecs.umich.edu [141.213.4.11]) by boston.eecs.umich.edu (8.12.10/8.13.0) with ESMTP id l7TFGbnd030547 (version=TLSv1/SSLv3 cipher=DHE-RSA-AES256-SHA bits=256 verify=FAIL) for ; Wed, 29 Aug 2007 11:16:38 -0400 Received: from holes.mr.itd.umich.edu (mx.umich.edu [141.211.14.137]) by newman.eecs.umich.edu (8.14.1/8.14.1) with ESMTP id l7TFG73X030289 for ; Wed, 29 Aug 2007 11:16:07 -0400 Received: FROM smtp108.sbc.mail.mud.yahoo.com (smtp108.sbc.mail.mud.yahoo.com [68.142.198.207]) BY holes.mr.itd.umich.edu ID 46D58DC8.251F0.3318 ; 29 Aug 2007 11:16:24 -0400 Received: (qmail 57872 invoked from network); 29 Aug 2007 15:16:23 -0000 Received: from unknown (HELO ?192.168.1.151?) (kb8pwy Æ sbcglobal.net Æ 64.9.221.37 with plain) by smtp108.sbc.mail.mud.yahoo.com with SMTP; 29 Aug 2007 15:16:23 -0000 X-YMail-OSG: OrikKuYVM1lbNBLeWsFNaQ_5sYS0PLzWjOPkbkFF1HDWESQHd0eSFuh7fB1APOIy1xIvRxZMj3msSwK..sLKsPkUE237.warb4k0PYJa83DSJSopjABx1O0- In-Reply-To: References: <93EC811F-946D-4EA2-ADE3-5D43B46EA65E Æ umich.edu> <4CE28F9E-2B6E-4834-B3FA-1C3FBF2E7341 Æ umich.edu> <02548635-1F0E-4244-847D-8FA54DACAD4B Æ umich.edu> <1acf35a70708221835o75734aa2waa72f00b69632a18 Æ mail.gmail.com> <78195003-0498-4DB5-A1CE-CAA5605DE533 Æ umich.edu> Mime-Version: 1.0 (Apple Message framework v752.3) Content-Type: multipart/alternative; boundary=Apple-Mail-18--360015532 Message-Id: X-Mailer: Apple Mail (2.752.3) X-Spam-Checker-Version: SpamAssassin 3.2.2 (2007-07-23) on newman.eecs.umich.edu X-Virus-Scanned: ClamAV version 0.91.2, clamav-milter version 0.91.2 on newman.eecs.umich.edu X-Virus-Status: Clean Date: Wed, 29 Aug 2007 11:16:21 -0400 To: improvetheworld Æ umich.edu Cc: Steven Reeves , reeves-hayos Æ umich.edu, reeves-kalkman Æ umich.edu From: Dave Morris Subject: Re: mind the gap --Apple-Mail-18--360015532 Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Content-Type: text/plain; charset=US-ASCII; delsp=yes; format=flowed How about establishing the environmental protection agency? All the national museums in downtown DC? Abolishing slavery? I feel like there are many such examples. Of course you could make the argument that these things make people happier, which allows them in turn to create more wealth, but the causality of the happiness before the wealth is the important point, the initial action decreased wealth. It's good to build society such that creation of wealth is not your only objective. Maybe it has to be your primary objective but only well tempered by others. I would theorize that the more successful your society is at providing the basics of survival (i.e. more high tech), the more it can afford to have other priorities. The CEO who got rich destroying the non-profit research company was a snake oil salesman at every step of the way. He preached benefit and utility and in the end delivered the hollow shell of what used to be an effective company. The stock values of the companies involved provided additional indirection and possibilities of get rich quick schemes which facilitated the process more than a direct sale could have. He created the illusion of value, while decreasing that value in the process, got rich while the illusion lasted, and now is in California on the beach and people here are looking for new jobs. Same thing. Unethical, but legal. Encouraged supported and enabled by the way the stock market works. On Aug 28, 2007, at 12:46 AM, Daniel Reeves wrote: > I challenge you to name a public policy that increases net welfare > (ie, utility) while decreasing total wealth. > > PS: The snake oil case is simple: no swindling -- it's the same as > stealing. I see no analogy with short-sighted stock trading or > overcompensating CEOs. Also, outlawing snake oil increases total > wealth. (The snake oil salesperson gets richer by $50, the sucker > gets poorer by $50, sucker gets 0 benefit, both parties lose $5 of > time: total wealth = 50 - 50 + 0 - 5 - 5 = -10. If that 0 were > more than 10 then wealth would have been created.) > > > --- \/ FROM Dave Morris AT 07.08.27 14:54 (Today) \/ --- > >> I do agree that one should err on the side of less government and >> less regulation as a general rule, as a goal to be aimed for. But >> that shouldn't paralyze us from action if we don't have a perfect >> or perfectly known solution but we know we have real problems. No, >> the free market is not an engineered system. But it is one we can >> influence, and one that many are trying to influence all the time. >> The default is that people will try to influence our system to >> maximize their ability to profit, which is not always in line with >> maximizing social good. So we have many good regulations on >> capitalism in place and should continue to. Even though they hurt >> people sometimes, on the whole they're worth it. We don't allow >> snake oil salesman to peddle their trade anymore (selling products >> claiming to have one effect and really having none), even though >> it's consensual and profitable. I think perhaps we should look at >> some stock deals and some CEOs that way as well, perhaps requiring >> more openness about who makes how much, etc., so that motivations >> are more clear when people take charge of companies and start >> changing them around. >> >> I'd agree with reducing the level of corporate welfare and >> protection, which starts with reducing the lobbying influence on >> our government. That would be great, and I'm far more confident in >> the value/safety of this action than any change to the stock market. >> >> But simultaneously, when a small number of people like those who >> took charge of the not-for-profit research company I spoke of, are >> able to for personal profit, manipulate the lives of a great >> number of people without their consent or control- that needs to >> be regulated. To do this, like the war on drugs which I agree has >> problems, you need to take a multi-pronged approach to the sticky >> and difficult to resolve situation. Mostly you target prosecution >> of the actual crimes (theft, by drug users or CEOs), but also you >> increase awareness of the issue via education and email chains >> like this one, and also you try to reduce the motivation for the >> crimes to break the chain from the other side. (thus my proposal >> to look at the stock market and maybe place some controls there- I >> don't have a good war on drugs analogy here :-)) >> >> Sure there are some companies that benefit from selling out. But I >> think there are also many that are hurt by it. We could argue >> without resolution for days because there are so many examples in >> both directions. But specifically with YouTube, I'd argue that >> college students would put together sites like that for free >> because they're sweet, without any motivation of profit. The open >> source software movement is great proof of this. And I'd further >> argue that while yes, venture capital and Google have provided the >> site with the resources to handle the load it currently has, I >> personally would guess that it would not be as good of a product >> if it had started off as a corporate profit driven venture. There >> would probably be registrations and more advertisements and more >> limitations to guarantee profits, and less just free functionality. >> >> >> There will never be a perfect solution. The balance between >> capitalism and socialism will always lead to individual cases >> where something is being over or under regulated. The real target >> is to reach a point where we have just as many problems pointing >> towards a need to go more capitalist as more socialist, and then >> we're at a pretty good point. So don't be too afraid of a solution >> that might slow down profit, slow down corporate growth, or slow >> down creation of wealth from time to time and in some cases. Those >> things are not the end of the world. Sure, creating wealth is >> good, and we should maximize that. But we should prioritize >> maximizing the creation of social welfare more. >> >> So I think it would be worth the risk to look into ways to tone >> down the stock market a bit. >> >> Dave >> >> On Aug 24, 2007, at 11:51 PM, Daniel Reeves wrote: >> >>> You're thinking in terms of more government interference. I >>> think the answer is less. Telling people how much they can pay >>> each other or what they can buy from who when is dangerous >>> territory. Even if you don't have a philosophical problem with >>> it (I kind of do) it simply tends to backfire. Getting rid of >>> corporate welfare and legal privileges for corporations is a >>> better place to start. >>> And I just don't buy the point of your not-for-profit company >>> example, Dave. Not that I deny that something went awry in that >>> instance. >>> The prospect of getting bought out is what motivates many >>> brilliant startups. That's why we have flickr and youtube. >>> Certainly it motivated them to add the polish and scale to >>> support millions of users. >>> I feel there is a fallacy implicit in proposals along the lines >>> of Dave's and Trixie's: thinking of the economy as an engineered >>> system to be tweaked (or in Trixie's case reengineered >>> altogether). Trying to conceptualize it that way leads to the >>> dark side! :) >>> Consider the fundamental difference between a law like "no >>> stealing" and a law prohibiting/limiting consensual behavior, in >>> Dave's case buying and selling stocks from each other or paying >>> each other to run companies. Laws like that require a very >>> careful argument. For example, "no buying drugs because you'll >>> become an addict and turn to crime." And of course even that >>> turns out to be an incredibly bad idea. Focusing our enforcement >>> effort on actual crime (as opposed to behavior that may or may >>> not cause indirect harm to society) would be far more effective. >>> Dave, I do concede the meta argument about falsifiability. Well >>> said. >>> --- \/ FROM Dave Morris AT 07.08.24 13:58 (Today) \/ --- >>>> I guess disagreement with that would be my whole point. The CEOs >>>> benefit hugely, but the company is less effective than it was >>>> before at providing valuable research to society, and the >>>> individuals involved are less well off too, so how does society >>>> benefit by the company getting screwed? The example I speak of >>>> was a small research company that was doing its job very well as >>>> a not-for-profit entity, not a failing company or one that was >>>> getting left behind by the changing times. It was a valuable >>>> entity that no-one was getting rich off of, that one person saw >>>> the opportunity to get rich off of because of how the stock >>>> market works, and so they did so, without thought for long term >>>> benefit to the company or society. The stock market enabled this. >>>> In support of capitalist society, ways to regulate this such as >>>> controlling CEO salaries or stock deals could benefit long term >>>> shareholder value, and thus benefit society in the long run by >>>> optimizing value/wealth creation over time. (the ideas created >>>> by this company ended up being used by government programs, DoD, >>>> and others, so the value was getting out to society when it was >>>> being created, even if no one individual was getting rich >>>> because of it) >>>> Extended point- the maximization of profit and shareholder value >>>> is not synonymous with the maximization of benefit to society, >>>> and in fact is often quiet opposite. But I guess we'd be doomed >>>> in coming to any useful conclusions if I expand this thread into >>>> that other conversation as well. :-) >>>> I don't have a solution- I haven't come up with specific >>>> suggestions that would improve the stock market really, and I'd >>>> readily acknowledge that our system works better than any that >>>> anyone else is using at the moment. I just see a potential for >>>> improvement to occur. Figuring out how to do it is the whole >>>> point of this list, yes? :-) >>>> Dave >>>> On Aug 23, 2007, at 12:16 PM, Kevin Lochner wrote: >>>>> but you're forgetting my point, which was that even if some >>>>> companies are getting "screwed over", said screwing may benefit >>>>> society on the whole. > > -- > http://ai.eecs.umich.edu/people/dreeves - - search://"Daniel Reeves" > > "As far as I know, this computer has never had an undetected error." > > > Dave Morris cell: 734-476-8769 http://www-personal.umich.edu/~thecat/ --Apple-Mail-18--360015532 Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable Content-Type: text/html; charset=ISO-8859-1 How about establishing the = environmental protection agency? All the national museums in downtown = DC? Abolishing slavery? I feel like there are many such = examples.

Of course = you could make the argument that these things make people happier, which = allows them in turn to create more wealth, but the causality of the = happiness before the wealth is the important point, the initial action = decreased wealth. It's good to build society such that creation of = wealth is not your only objective. Maybe it has to be your primary = objective but only well tempered by others. I would theorize that the = more successful your society is at providing the basics of survival = (i.e. more high tech), the more it can afford to have other = priorities.=A0


The CEO who got rich = destroying the non-profit research company was a snake oil salesman at = every step of the way. He preached benefit and utility and in the end = delivered the hollow shell of what used to be an effective company. The = stock values of the companies involved provided additional indirection = and possibilities of get rich quick schemes which facilitated the = process more than a direct sale could have. He created the illusion of = value, while decreasing that value in the process, got rich while the = illusion lasted, and now is in California on the beach and people here = are looking for new jobs.=A0 =A0Same thing. Unethical, but legal. = Encouraged supported and enabled by the way the stock market = works.


On Aug 28, 2007, at = 12:46 AM, Daniel Reeves wrote:

I challenge you to name a public policy that = increases net welfare (ie, utility) while decreasing total = wealth.

PS: The snake oil case is simple: no swindling -- = it's the same as stealing.=A0 = I see no analogy with short-sighted stock trading or = overcompensating CEOs.=A0 = Also, outlawing snake oil increases total wealth. (The snake oil = salesperson gets richer by $50, the sucker gets poorer by $50, sucker = gets 0 benefit, both parties lose $5 of time: total wealth =3D 50 - 50 + = 0 - 5 - 5 =3D -10.=A0 If = that 0 were more than 10 then wealth would have been created.)


--- \/ =A0 FROM Dave Morris AT 07.08.27 = 14:54 (Today) =A0 \/ = ---

=
I do agree that one should = err on the side of less government and less regulation as a general = rule, as a goal to be aimed for. But that shouldn't paralyze us from = action if we don't have a perfect or perfectly known solution but we = know we have real problems. No, the free market is not an engineered = system. But it is one we can influence, and one that many are trying to = influence all the time. The default is that people will try to influence = our system to maximize their ability to profit, which is not always in = line with maximizing social good. So we have many good regulations on = capitalism in place and should continue to. Even though they hurt people = sometimes, on the whole they're worth it.=A0 We don't allow snake oil = salesman to peddle their trade anymore (selling products claiming to = have one effect and really having none), even though it's consensual and = profitable. I think perhaps we should look at some stock deals and some = CEOs that way as well, perhaps requiring more openness about who makes = how much, etc., so that motivations are more clear when people take = charge of companies and start changing them around.

I'd = agree with reducing the level of corporate welfare and protection, which = starts with reducing the lobbying influence on our government. That = would be great, and I'm far more confident in the value/safety of this = action than any change to the stock market.

But = simultaneously, when a small number of people like those who took charge = of the not-for-profit research company I spoke of, are able to for = personal profit, manipulate the lives of a great number of people = without their consent or control- that needs to be regulated.=A0 To do this, like the war on = drugs which I agree has problems, you need to take a multi-pronged = approach to the sticky and difficult to resolve situation. Mostly you = target prosecution of the actual crimes (theft, by drug users or CEOs), = but also you increase awareness of the issue via education and email = chains like this one, and also you try to reduce the motivation for the = crimes to break the chain from the other side. (thus my proposal to look = at the stock market and maybe place some controls there- I don't have a = good war on drugs analogy here :-))

Sure there are some companies = that benefit from selling out. But I think there are also many that are = hurt by it. We could argue without resolution for days because there are = so many examples in both directions. But specifically with YouTube, I'd = argue that college students would put together sites like that for free = because they're sweet, without any motivation of profit. The open source = software movement is great proof of this. And I'd further argue that = while yes, venture capital and Google have provided the site with the = resources to handle the load it currently has, I personally would guess = that it would not be as good of a product if it had started off as a = corporate profit driven venture. There would probably be registrations = and more advertisements and more limitations to guarantee profits, and = less just free functionality.


There will never be a perfect solution. The balance = between capitalism and socialism will always lead to individual cases = where something is being over or under regulated. The real target is to = reach a point where we have just as many problems pointing towards a = need to go more capitalist as more socialist, and then we're at a pretty = good point. So don't be too afraid of a solution that might slow down = profit, slow down corporate growth, or slow down creation of wealth from = time to time and in some cases. Those things are not the end of the = world. Sure, creating wealth is good, and we should maximize that. But = we should prioritize maximizing the creation of social welfare = more.

So I think it would be worth the risk to look into = ways to tone down the stock market a bit.


On Aug 24, 2007, at 11:51 PM, Daniel Reeves = wrote:

=
You're thinking in terms of = more government interference.=A0 = I think the answer is less.=A0= Telling people how much they can pay each other or what they can = buy from who when is dangerous territory.=A0 Even if you don't have a = philosophical problem with it (I kind of do) it simply tends to = backfire. Getting rid of corporate welfare and legal privileges for = corporations is a better place to start.
And I = just don't buy the point of your not-for-profit company example, = Dave.=A0 Not that I deny = that something went awry in that instance.
The = prospect of getting bought out is what motivates many brilliant = startups.=A0 That's why we = have flickr and youtube.=A0 = Certainly it motivated them to add the polish and scale to = support millions of users.
I feel there = is a fallacy implicit in proposals along the lines of Dave's and = Trixie's:=A0 thinking of = the economy as an engineered system to be tweaked (or in Trixie's case = reengineered altogether).=A0 = Trying to conceptualize it that way leads to the dark side! = :)
=A0Consider the fundamental = difference between a law like "no stealing" and a law = prohibiting/limiting consensual behavior, in Dave's case buying and = selling stocks from each other or paying each other to run companies. = Laws like that require a very careful argument. For example, "no buying = drugs because you'll become an addict and turn to crime."=A0 And of course even that turns = out to be an incredibly bad idea.=A0= Focusing our enforcement effort on actual crime (as opposed to = behavior that may or may not cause indirect harm to society) would be = far more effective.
Dave, I do concede the meta = argument about falsifiability.=A0 = Well said.
--- \/ =A0 FROM Dave Morris AT 07.08.24 = 13:58 (Today) =A0 \/ = ---
I guess = disagreement with that would be my whole point. The CEOs benefit hugely, = but the company is less effective than it was before at providing = valuable research to society, and the individuals involved are less well = off too, so how does society benefit by the company getting screwed? The = example I speak of was a small research company that was doing its job = very well as a not-for-profit entity, not a failing company or one that = was getting left behind by the changing times. It was a valuable entity = that no-one was getting rich off of, that one person saw the opportunity = to get rich off of because of how the stock market works, and so they = did so, without thought for long term benefit to the company or society. = The stock market enabled this.
In support of = capitalist society, ways to regulate this such as controlling CEO = salaries or stock deals could benefit long term shareholder value, and = thus benefit society in the long run by optimizing value/wealth creation = over time. (the ideas created by this company ended up being used by = government programs, DoD, and others, so the value was getting out to = society when it was being created, even if no one individual was getting = rich because of it)
Extended point- the = maximization of profit and shareholder value is not synonymous with the = maximization of benefit to society, and in fact is often quiet opposite. = But I guess we'd be doomed in coming to any useful conclusions if I = expand this thread into that other conversation as well. :-)
I don't have a solution- I haven't come up with = specific suggestions that would improve the stock market really, and I'd = readily acknowledge that our system works better than any that anyone = else is using at the moment. I just see a potential for improvement to = occur.=A0 Figuring out how = to do it is the whole point of this list, yes? :-)
Dave
On Aug 23, = 2007, at 12:16 PM, Kevin Lochner wrote:
but you're forgetting my point, = which was that even if some companies are getting "screwed over", said = screwing may benefit society on the whole.
=

--=A0
http://ai.eecs.umich.edu/= people/dreeves=A0 - = -=A0 search://"Daniel = Reeves"

"As far as I know, this computer has never had an = undetected error."


=

Dave = Morris
cell: 734-476-8769

=

= --Apple-Mail-18--360015532--